[NZ Trade Consortium working paper No43]

December 2005

*The New Zealand Institute of Economic Research (NZIER)

Contents
1. Introduction .......................................................... 1
2. Economic trends & their impacts on business ........................... 1
2.1 Economic trends ................................. 1
2.1.1 Demographics................................. 1
2.1.2 Resources & technology ................................... 2
2.1.3 Economic connectedness ............................. 4
2.2 Impact on business/economy ............................ 7
2.2.1 Demographics....................................... 7
2.2.2 Resources & technology .................................. 8
2.2.3 Economic connectedness ................................ 9
3. China & world trade ..................................... 10
3.1 How China impacts on global trends ........................... 10
3.1.1 Demographics............................................. 10
3.1.2 Resources & technology .......................... 11
3.1.3 Economic connectedness .................... 13
3.2 How important is China’s influence compared with other
influences? ................................... 17
3.2.1 Demographics....................................... 17
3.2.2 Resources & technology ........................... 17
3.2.3 Economic connectedness ....................... 18
4. Take out points.................................... 19
5. References............................. 21